Stat to know: The Eagles' Carson Wentz has 963 passing yards on the season, and he needs 400 more to have his most through the first five games of a season in his career (his single-game career high is 364). What to know for fantasy: Curtis Samuel's target share is nearly twice that of DJ Moore (24.1% to 12.1%) with Kyle Allen under center for the Panthers this season. ET | CBS See Week 5 rankings. ET | ESPN/ESPN App Colts vs Broncos starts the week off on Thursday Night Football. The answer is to be determined, Cruz expects Minshew will lead Jags over Allen's Panthers (1:17), Week 5 NFL game picks, schedule guide, fantasy football tips and more, Which NFL teams still have roster holes? Walder's pick: Eagles 23, Cardinals 20 It won't hold, though, as J.J. Watt & Co. make life miserable for the Falcons' offensive line. We answered the biggest QB questions, How Saquon Barkley and AJ Dillon became the 'Quad Kings' of the NFL, Landon Collins, Giants finalizing deal, sources say, Packers' Aaron Rodgers wanted longer London trip, Rodgers: 'This way of winning, I don't think, is sustainable', Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. -- Turron Davenport. Thursday night is going to be fun. -- Jamison Hensley, Bold prediction: Ja'Marr Chase will have more than 125 receiving yards. Read more. FPI prediction: LA, 65.1% (by an average of 4.7 points), Matchup must-reads: Jerry Jones: An 'injustice' not to give coach McCarthy credit Police report filed in Wagner tackle Cowboys D reaching elite levels of legendary Doomsday Defense? I tweaked my predictions from Sunday to reflect . NFL DRAFT HISTORY & NOTES. This scheme has not changed and is bolstered on the back end by Eddie Jackson, who leads the NFC in interceptions with three in four games. Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow has excelled in his past eight road games, going 6-2 with 18 touchdowns and four interceptions. And for fantasy managers looking to make all the right moves, Graziano and Fowler name must-start sleepers and point out potential fantasy flops of the week. Betting nugget: This game has the highest over/under this season. Betting nugget: Minnesota is 22-10-1 ATS after a loss under Mike Zimmer. Tannehill had only two 300-yard passing games last season and has yet to have one this year. That's not the attitude a winless team needs. That'll help the Texans continue their eight-game winning streak over the Jaguars. But Joe Flacco's struggles (one touchdown in his past 28 drives) and Baltimore's poor history traveling out west (five consecutive losses) make it difficult to have any confidence in the Ravens. FREE to play! . Last year alone, Mahomes threw seven touchdowns with no interceptions in two games as the Chiefs scored a combined 89 points. The team that gets the running game going will have a decisive advantage. There will be 259 total selections over a three-day period . Betting nugget: Since the start of the 2016 season, Arizona is 3-13 ATS in 1 p.m. Patrick Mahomes has been as good against the Raiders as any opponent, with a 7-1 record, 22 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Betting nugget: In the past six London games, favorites are 5-1 ATS, and five of the six games went under the total. He is the first player with nine sacks through the first four games of a season since Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila recorded nine in 2001. Dolphins 19, Titans 17 -- Cameron Wolfe, The Dolphins allowed 235 rushing yards in last year's loss to the Titans. FPI prediction: KC, 80.9% (by an average of 12.0 points), Matchup must-reads: Mahomes, Favre and other NFL stars reveal the larger-than-life tales behind Andy Reid Colts GM Chris Ballard has needed his no-flinch, no-panic approach Chiefs RB Williams has waited behind big-name backs before Ebron 'disgusted' by drops, takes blame for Colts' loss, Monday, 8:15 p.m. 198 days ago NFL Week 4 of the 2022-23 NFL season has come to a close. Top Week 5 NFL predictions One of the model's strongest Week 5 NFL picks is that the Titans (-2.5) cover against the Commanders in almost 60% of simulations. Including playoffs, Rodgers has thrown 29 touchdown passes with just eight interceptions in 15 games. Read more. Read more. Week 5 NFL predictions: Game Postponed. All newly updated picks . On the flip side, the Packers might have to run the ball with Aaron Jones given the turf toe injury to Davante Adams, who caught two touchdown passes in the previous meeting in Dallas. The Colts' three losses have come to the same three teams that San Francisco has lost to -- Arizona, Los Angeles Rams and Seattle -- and Indianapolis lost those games by a combined 68 points. Week 5 brings some more great matchups and potential upsets. The Bengals are allowing 8.6 yards per attempt, which is ideal for a team averaging 5.5 despite having Kyler Murray -- who has thrown for 300 yards in two of his first four games. While the Chargers' running game has struggled, Herbert will always be a threat in the passing game. 3 all-time rusher Barry Sanders, 1 p.m. UPDATE: I made seven changes to my final mock draft -- starting with the No. For the season on third downs, he's completing only 48.9% of his passes and owns a 78.0 passer rating. Betting nugget: Smith is 23-15 ATS in his career, including 10-2 ATS in his past 12 starts and 5-2 ATS with Seattle. FPI prediction: CAR, 57.9% (by an average of 2.8 points), Matchup must-reads: Fournette flourishes in Christian McCaffrey-type workload Amid defensive changes, Kuechly remains the Panthers' stopper Jaguars looking to cash in on Minshew mania Khan: No plan to trade CB Jalen Ramsey, 1 p.m. Getting back to what they do best -- stopping the run -- is paramount this week. Irrelevant' pick on Toledo's Johnson, Chargers go all-in on TCU with Duggan pick in 7th, 10 fantasy football breakout players for 2023, Will Levis opens up about emotional draft day, Steelers' first draft under Omar Khan was 'aggressive' and achieved high marks, After hoopla of going No. The Giants have had trouble stopping the run, and it could be a problem again this week with Olivier Vernon and Jason Pierre-Paul struggling with injuries. That's tied for the most outright wins without a loss in any matchup in NFL history, according to Elias Sports Bureau research. Matchup rating: 50.5 | Spread: BAL -3.5 (44), What to watch for: The Ravens' defense has a penchant for giving up big plays. "His quickness with power is awesome," said Rivers about Miller, who has 16 career sacks against the Chargers. -- Todd Archer, Bold prediction: The first team to 30 rushing attempts will win. -- Josh Weinfuss, Bold prediction: Arizona will double its sack total on the season and take Jalen Hurts down four times. The team has preached all week that their offense won't change much with the backup quarterback starting, and he'll prove them right come Sunday. Walder's pick: Seahawks 19, Saints 16 That stat line would be worth 259.6 points, not much different from the 260.1 points that Allen produced last season. So this is a game the Chargers normally would lose, which is why Im picking them to win -- along with the fact that I believe the Giants will have trouble stopping the Bolts talented pass-rushing duo of Melvin Ingram and Joey Bosa. That is tied for most through four games in his career (2018). But Trubisky is making his first career start on Monday Night Football. Stat to know: The Titans rank 28th in the NFL in both sacks allowed (17) and pressure rate (34.0%). 1 wideout Jordan Matthews. Raiders 20, Ravens 13 -- Jamison Hensley, As easy as it would be to go with Baltimore -- the Raiders have converted just two of their past 24 third-down opportunities and are without starting QB Derek Carr -- the home crowd is the X factor, and so is the confidence Oakland has in Manuel. Steelers' first draft by Khan 'aggressive' On the other side of the ball, Tom Brady said his shoulder is fine, but former Falcon Julio Jones' status is up in the air after missing the second half last week because of a knee injury. The Bills aren't known for a traditional ground game, but the Steelers' defense is giving up an average of 131.5 rushing yards per game. The Bengals as a whole have an NFL-worst 2.8 yards per rush and NFL-low 1.5 yards before first contact. The Bolts are averaging an NFL-low 64.5 rushing yards per game, while the Browns' defense is ranked 17th, allowing an average of 113 yards per game. NFL Week 5 picks, predictions: Colts vs. Broncos | Giants vs. Packers | Steelers vs. Bills Chargers vs. Browns | Texans vs. Jaguars | Bears vs. Vikings Lions vs. Patriots | Seahawks vs.. Gregg Rosenthal went 10-6 . Since Alex Smith got injured in Week 11 of last season, it has had an NFL-high five starting QBs. Keim's pick: Patriots 27, Redskins 7 This is the second-longest current home losing streak in the NFL behind the Cardinals, who have dropped seven in a row at home. But Browns RB Nick Chubb leads the NFL in rushing first downs and rushes of 10-plus yards. He will find a way to connect with a receiver group that will be missing first-round pick Treylon Burks. I've been talking with execs, scouts, coaches and other evaluators around the league to get the latest surrounding how each team might use their 2023 NFL draft . Inside Kelly Kleine's historic journey, from Vikings to Broncos Justin Fields, Bears' struggling passing game looking for answers Vikings riding ups and downs as Cousins learns new scheme, What to watch for: The Dolphins, aiming to put aside the Tua Tagovailoa concussion controversy, hope to improve to 4-1 for the first time since 2003. Given the Colts' struggles protecting the quarterback (they've allowed 14 sacks, tied for fifth most in the league) and the Niners' ability to take advantage of porous offensive lines (nine sacks total against Seattle and Arizona), this would seem to be the type of game the 49ers can win. See Week 5 rankings. Our NFL Nation reporters bring us the keys to every game, a bold prediction for each matchup and final score predictions. "That's why he's one of the best [defensive] ends/outside 'backers ever." Betting nugget: Philadelphia is 3-0 ATS against Pittsburgh since 2008. The 2023 NFL draft wrapped up Saturday and through five rounds, 12 quarterbacks were selected -- the most in the common draft era. -- Mike DiRocco, Bold prediction: Texans wideout Brandin Cooks will have his best outing of the season with a 100-yard game. Published: Oct 07, 2021 at 12:32 PM. Bengals 13, Bills 9 -- Mike Rodak, The Bengals have a tough matchup against one of the league's best defenses (Buffalo is 10th overall), but it looks like their offense finally has begun to click in the past two weeks. Philadelphia is allowing a league-low 4.75 yards per pass, and the Cardinals are ranked 30th in passing yards per play (5.37). That should change against a Tampa Bay team that is averaging 31 points per game and allowing 29. Elliott is coming off the third-fewest rushing yards of his career, yet the Packers are allowing 142.3 yards per game and 5.0 yards per carry. Legwold's pick: Chargers 23, Broncos 21 MIN-NYG | NYJ-PHI | JAX-CAR Chiefs 24, Texans 20 -- Adam Teicher, Deshaun Watson and the Texans' offense made a big statement scoring 57 points against the Titans. FPI prediction: SF, 72.5% (by an average of 8.3 points), Matchup must-reads: Chubb's running finally launches Browns' offense How good are first-place 49ers? Veteran WR Cole Beasley retires after 11 NFL seasons, What to watch for: Rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett is set to make his first career start against a Bills defense that is tied with the San Francisco 49ers for giving up the fewest yards per game (234.5). What to know for fantasy: Baker Mayfield averaged one touchdown pass every 18 attempts as a rookie. So, these teams could have to rely on their defenses. Projecting the Giant's first-round pick, Moody's pick: Saints 27, Seahawks 24 Theres not a whole lot of tape out there on Trubisky, which is a disadvantage for Minnesota in game planning. The Cowboys will want to prove last week was more of a fluke than a trend. Victor Cruz contends that Gardner Minshew is better equipped to lead his team to victory in the matchup with Panthers QB Kyle Allen. See Week 5 rankings. Also note that the Redskins enter the game ranked 29th in rushing yards allowed per game (147.5). McManus' pick: Steelers 24 . DAL-LAR | CIN-BAL | LV-KC, What to watch for: The Bucs are on a rare two-game slide and are 0-2 at home so far this season, while the Falcons have won two straight. See Week 5 rankings. The Chiefs are averaging 5.2 yards per rush this season with McCoy on the field, compared to 3.3 with him off the field. What to know for fantasy: Dalvin Cook has rushed for a touchdown in all four weeks this season and has seen his reception total increase each week as he continues to make a bid as a top-tier fantasy RB. -- Jeff Legwold. See Week 5 rankings. No one really knows what to expect. Eli Manning beats Philip Rivers for the first time in his career. What to know for fantasy: Zach Ertz finished last season as TE2 despite not scoring his first touchdown until Week 5. The offense remains a question mark, however, and could be without starting left tackle Rees Odhiambo because of a chest injury. The Raiders opened the season with three of their first four games on the road. Facebook; Twitter; Facebook Messenger; Pinterest; Email; Scoring is up across the NFL. It's all here to help get you ready for a loaded weekend of NFL football. Swift likely out again vs. Patriots, source says, What to watch for: The Vikings' defense has given up 1,054 passing yards this season, seventh-most in the NFL, as it meanders through the adjustment process to coordinator Ed Donatell's 3-4 scheme. Wagoner's pick: 49ers 27, Browns 24 ESPN Fantasy's Kyle Soppe and ESPN Chalk's Mackenzie Kraemer hand out helpful nuggets as well. Irrelevant' pick on Toledo's Johnson, Chargers go all-in on TCU with Duggan pick in 7th, 10 fantasy football breakout players for 2023, Will Levis opens up about emotional draft day, Steelers' first draft under Omar Khan was 'aggressive' and achieved high marks, After hoopla of going No. These teams are evenly matched, so quarterback play could make the difference. Betting nugget: Carolina is 3-15 ATS in its past 18 games. Matchup rating: 56.9 | Spread: SF -3.5 (46.5), What to watch for: The 49ers are missing left tackle Joe Staley and cornerback Ahkello Witherspoon, both of whom play positions opposite Cleveland's best players in defensive end Myles Garrett (and DE/LB Olivier Vernon, depending on alignment) and receiver Odell Beckham Jr. With backups in the lineup, can the Niners neutralize two of Cleveland's biggest stars? ESPN researcher Kyle Soppe hands out helpful fantasy football intel, as well. Moody's pick: Chargers 27, Browns 20 NE-WSH | BAL-PIT | OAK-CHI Meanwhile, the Cowboys are tied for second in the league with 15 sacks and own the best pass rush win rate in the NFL (56.3%), according to ESPN Metrics powered by NFL Next Gen Stats. passing windows despite a smaller 5-foot-10, 204-pound frame. Betting nugget: Washington has failed to cover in three straight games. Cowboys 27, Packers 23 -- Rob Demovsky, For the second consecutive week, the Cowboys are facing a team with a 10-day break. They'll do just enough to keep things that way. Stat to know: The Eagles are the only team to win the turnover battle in every game this season. The last thing the Vikings need is for Diggs' situation to blow up into a full-blown distraction. ARI-CIN | DEN-LAC | GB-DAL After a first round that saw three quarterbacks taken high, the Texans get aggressive, Will Levis slide . ET | CBS Sidney Jones (hamstring) has practiced this week in hopes of playing. 1, Panthers' Bryce Young is all 'business now', Top picks Christian Gonzalez, Keion White reflect Patriots' ideal identity, Big takeaways from the NFL draft: A historic QB class, the rebuilt AFC South and new GMs thriving, NFL Nation sizes up all 259 draft selections, XFL semifinals: Defenders roll Sea Dragons, set up title showdown with Renegades. ET | FOX Betting nugget: Both times Rodgers faced the Cowboys in Dallas, Green Bay won the game outright as an underdog (2016 divisional round and 2017 Week 5). -- Eric D. Williams, Bold prediction: The Broncos have not intercepted a pass this season, but they will get their first one Sunday. -- Todd Archer. Eagles 27, Cardinals 17 -- Josh Weinfuss, Larry Fitzgerald long has tortured the Eagles, averaging six catches, 99 yards and more than a touchdown per game against them in seven meetings. This week's draft seemingly begins with the second overall pick -- excluding Tuesday's wild odds move for the top pick -- but it could take a few wild turns right after that. That would mean bigger roles for undrafted rookie Keelan Cole (four catches) and recently signed first-year player Max McCaffrey. Game of Midweek: Colts at Broncos (-3.5, 44 o/u) . The Saints' problems are beyond the quarterback right now, as they are among the worst teams in the league in both penalties and turnover differential. Time/station: 8:20 PM EST, ESPN.

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